Ignore the 4.9% year-over-year inflation rate. The month-over-month rate is the best measure of current inflation and it remains stubbornly high. Recession or not, volatility likely still lingers because small caps continue to underperform.
The stress in the financial sector has not receded. But earnings so far, are coming in better than expected for the first quarter of 2023.
Mixed signals continue to baffle market strategists as the market awaits clear direction from either the bulls or the bears.
Inflation eases, banking failures subside, and recession fears ease. But the odds of more rate hikes continue to increase.
Bank failures, high inflation, possible recession… Yet the S&P 500 is actually showing fairly strong price action. What’s going on?
Continued volatility in the banking industry caused by a new bank failure and a rush to stabilize the regional banking industry. What is the Bank Term Funding Program and what did that do to the Federal Reserve Balance Sheet?
Silicon Valley Bank nears total collapse. The first sign of serious breakage in the economy since the Federal Reserve began the tightening cycle.
Stocks are still expensive and now rising bond yields are causing disruptions in valuations.
Is inflation actually receding? Latest readings indicate inflation may remain stubbornly high throughout 2023.
The turbulent journey of oil prices between 2020 and today. Have the oil markets finally stabilized?